La pegada de Francia 2 a 0 y jugando mejor Marruecos , para mi la seleccion que mejor a jugado en el mundial pero le falta en los ultimos metros la punteria
4 ataques 4 fallos contra la directrix bajista en 11 sesiones(la supremacía del AT), en acciones la mayoría de las veces termina en rendición y ruptura de la estructura hacia abajo.
Veremos que pasa el resto de la semana.
Mis mensajes van de especulación y trading de corto plazo.
Tremendo los futuros del VIX cayendo un 4,88% en 20,63 cerca de 20 nivel muy relevante que si lo pierde significa ausencia de miedo
#259823
Re: Pulso de Mercado: Intradía
Fed Raises Rate by 0.5 Percentage Point, Signals More Increases Likely
Wed Dec 14 15:12:00 2022
By Nick Timiraos
WASHINGTON -- The Federal Reserve approved an interest-rate increase of 0.5 percentage point and signaled plans to keep raising rates at its next few meetings to combat high inflation.
The decision Wednesday marked a step down after four consecutive larger increases of 0.75 point and raised the benchmark federal-funds rate to a range between 4.25% and 4.5%, a 15-year high.
At a news conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell suggested the central bank would strongly consider dialing down the size of rate rises to a more traditional quarter-percentage-point increment at its next meeting on Jan. 31-Feb. 1.
Given how high the Fed raised rates this year, "it's now not so important how fast we go," Mr. Powell said.
Most officials penciled in plans to raise the rate to between 5% and 5.5% next year, with the median projection implying a further 0.75 percentage point in rate rises. In September, they anticipated lifting it to around 4.6% by the end of next year.
Officials made hardly any changes to their postmeeting policy statement, which continued to describe "ongoing increases" in interest rates as appropriate.
Most officials expect making somewhat less progress on inflation next year than they had anticipated in September. They project core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy categories, to fall from 5% on an annual basis in October to 3.5% at the end of next year. That is up from a projection of 3% in September.
Fed officials say they combat inflation primarily by slowing the economy through tighter financial conditions -- such as higher borrowing costs, lower stock prices and a stronger dollar -- that curb demand. The fed-funds rate i nfluences other borrowing costs throughout the economy, including rates on credit cards, mortgages and car loans.
Fed rate increases this year have hit asset prices and are causing a significant slowdown in rate-sensitive sectors of the economy such as housing. But in recent weeks, longer-term bond yields have tumbled as investors anticipate a speedy decline in inflation, possibly due to a recession next year.
Economic projections released Wednesday show officials expect their interest-rate increases will slow the economy over the coming year and push up the unemployment rate to 4.6% next year, from 3.7% in November. Historically, an increase of that much in that span has coincided with a recession.
Many officials revised down their economic growth outlook for next year, with a couple of them projecting declines in gross domestic product. Most see the economy expanding by 0.5% next year before accelerating in 2024.
Wednesday's decision capped a year in which the Fed raised rates from near zero at the fastest pace since the early 1980s to fight inflation, which reached a 40-year high in June. In recent weeks, officials have signaled they are entering a new phase of policy tightening in which they would try to judge how much higher they need to raise rates.
Fed policy makers coalesced this spring around plans to raise rates by a half-percentage point at each meeting until they saw evidence inflation was slowing. Almost as soon as those plans came together, Mr. Powell decided to accelerate the increases amid fears that very high inflation would lead consumers and businesses to expect prices to keep climbing rapidly, causing high inflation to persist. The central bank lifted rates by 0.75 percentage point in June, the largest increase in 28 years.
At the time, Mr. Powell said such big moves would be uncommon. But continued high inflation and doubts in financial markets over the Fed's commitment to fight it led the central bank to make three more increases of that magnitude.
Officials largely agreed at their meeting last month to slow rate increases beginning this week to better assess how their moves are influencing the economy. Rate increases work with what economists call long and variable lags, which means central bankers may not know for a year or more if they have tightened too much or not enough.
The aggressive rate increases have brought inflation-adjusted or "real" interest rates well above zero for all but the shortest-dated borrowing. Fed officials believe positive real rates are necessary to slow the economy.
Data released since the Fed's November meeting have provided a mixed picture of the economy. While domestic demand has slowed and the housing market is entering a sharp downturn, the job market has remained strong and declines in gasoline prices could help sustain consumer spending.
"What's impressed me to no end is it hasn't broken anything. For all the talk of crashing the economy and breaking the financial markets, it hasn't done that," said Fed governor Christopher Waller last month, referring to the cumulative rate increases.
Inflation has slowed in the past two months. Consumer prices climbed 0.1% in November from the previous month and 7.1% from a year earlier, the Labor Department said Tuesday, both down notably from comparable previous increases.
The Fed pays close attention to so-called core prices, which exclude volatile food and energy categories, as a better predictor of future inflation than overall inflation. Over the past three months, core prices increased at a 4.3% annualized rate, the lowest such reading in more than one year.
A consensus over how much higher to raise rates and how long to hold them at that yet-to-be-determined level could be hard for Mr. Powell to hold together amid uncertainty over the outlook for inflation and wages.
One camp of policy makers thinks high inflation is likely to continue slowing and wants to minimize potential job losses due to high interest rates and slowing economic activity. They are more eager to slow down and then pause rate rises.
Another camp of officials more readily embraces stiffer measures to fight inflation because they think it could settle at a level that is unacceptably above the Fed's 2% inflation target.
The projections released Wednesday showed considerable divergence over what might happen after next year. Around one third of officials expect to hold the fed-funds rate above 4.5% through 2024. Most officials anticipate cutting rates by around 1 percentage point in 2024.
Exactamente, DXY bajando, VIX desplomándose, Bonos planos y debería el SP estar de fiesta, hay que ver de dónde sale este papel... más tarde llegarán pistas.
Mis mensajes van de especulación y trading de corto plazo.
