Pabrai, sobre ejemplos de inversiones de alta incertidumbre pero bajo riesgo:
"For example, Frontline (
NYSE:FRO) was a shipping company, and this company focused on transporting crude oil. They had something known as VLCCs, Very Large Crude Carriers that they owned . ..The VLCCs are chartered two different ways. Either they are time charters, or they're daily charters. The entire Frontline fleet of 70 ships was on daily charters. The daily charter rate for these ships can vary from $5,000 a day to $300,000 a day. It is a huge variance and at that time in 2002, once the rates went below $12,000 or $13,000 they were not making any money; they were losing money. Once the rates went over $30,000 or $40,000, they were super, super abnormal profits, exponential profits . ..I bought Frontline at a point when these prices were $5,000 or $10,000 a day, and the stock had collapsed, and it was trading at about $6 a share...Then it went from $6 to $9 in a short time. I wanted just to capture that spread. It was above the liquidation value. I sold the company. Because of the very high uncertainty in rates, if I had held the stock, even with all the recent collapse in shipping, would've been a 30, 35 times investment, from $6 to $160."