https://en.thenavigatorcompany.com/var/ezdemo_site/storage/original/application/dd0ca24cec40befaf06a9adcb7bfc459.pdfLa demanda de papel de imprimir comenzó a recuperar en el 3er T., y siguió esta recuperación el 4ºT por vaciado de inventarios de los clientes, que habían acumulado en 2.022.
"In the 4th quarter, the level of new orders recorded by Navigator from all markets increased by 18% over
the previous quarter, and orders from Europe rose by 25%."
Se espera mejora en pedidos de papel en 1er. T 2024.
"n the Paper segment, order books are expected to improve in the 1st quarter, in line with a trend we have
observed as from September 2023"
En Europa se está perdiendo capacidad. Algunos fabricantes están cerrando y otros pasándose al sector del empaquetado. También la crisis del canal de Suez está encareciendo las importaciones de ASia, lo que junto con la mejora de la demanda se supone mejorará el precio del papel en Europa.
"In addition to the expected normalisation, the crisis in the Suez
Canal is also contributing to increased delivery times (of cargo coming from Asia). Despite the current
context of an economic slowdown and extreme uncertainty, it is foreseeable that the upturn in demand, the
reduction of supply in Europe and the severe pressure on costs will help reverse the downward course of
paper prices in Europe and in certain international markets.
In Europe, temporary and definitive reductions in capacity have been announced in the paper sector. In
2023 and 2024, the European market will shed almost 400 thousand tons of annual UWF production capacity.
Some manufacturers have announced the permanent closure of operations, whilst others have announced
the conversion of capacity to packaging grades. In contrast, China has recorded a net increase of 1.4 million
tons in 2023 and a further 5.4 million tons of net UWF capacity is expected to come online in the next few
years (although 2.5 million of this is still uncertain). This movement will be positive for the Pulp market, but
it could nonetheless put pressure on paper markets, not so much in Europe, as in Overseas regions"