Quote from: CSNY on Today at 09:54:38 AM
If AZ is on the right track about LT assets being in WMIH's future, I think KKR's $10MM initial commitment (announced 12/9/13 and consummated on 1/31/14) was an option purchase because the recovery value of illiquid assets was speculative. (There was a precursor to the 2014 R-203 in JPM's 2013 10-K which similar numbers.)
Coincidentally the $600MM deal was announced in late December 2014 three months after the PAA expired, and consummated five days after the end of JPM's reporting period, on 1/5/15, which suggests the LT got more information after the PAA's expiration. If illiquid property was forthcoming the date of reckoning (i.e., receiving whatever was to be received) was closer and worth a larger investment, which for KKR got magnified 20x to $200MM and attracted Citi's $400MM.
Ron asserts that when the 3/25/15 press release was issued the LT knew $ and illiquid property would arrive on or around 4/1/15 (i.e., after the first quarter). We haven't heard a peep but the LT will have no justification for keeping silent after 6/30/15. Moreover, roughly 90 days will have passed for review of any illiquid assets by both sides to a LT/WMIH transaction, and any cash will have to be disbursed by late June - early August. Finally, 6/30 will be five days before the 7/5/15 drop dead date which became obsolete after the SM in April. Perhaps that date has greater significance.
As time passes I become increasingly convinced that, yes, that $10MM was just throw away money KKR was willing to risk to get first dibs on exploiting a potential bonanza.
As for the $568MM, that's liquidity to set up a structure and peanuts compared to what KKR and Citi expect to gain.
Well, ... obviously, ol' AZ believes he is on the right track, post reorganization and after three years of serious study and research of the filings and the document dissections, are the reasons that ol' AZ remains heavily invested' ... the sequence of events and time lines are just not coincidental' ... again' ... in its simplest form ? This is what Plan 6 had designed' ... except, now with the adjustments to include class 19 and class 22 ~ equity ~ The now approved' Plan 7
I believe you to be correct, when you mention the KKR' initial commitment (12/9/2013) ... at that point in time' ... the Purchase and Assumption Agreement was still an open contract' between the FDIC and JPMorgan' ... anything was possible' up to and until the contracts termination ... the final calculations would have merely been speculative at that current point in time' ... legally, everything is determinative to, "current point in time" ... a presenter can only speculate regarding the future'
Now, here we are at this current point in time' ... The Liquidating Trust does not publically trade, so it is under no legal obligation to file 8-K's ... it can if it chooses to' ... but that is all ... regarding the silence ? ~ I believe the silence regarding both' the LT and WMIH to obviously be connected regarding a future event'
it should now be obvious to all' that WMIH was never merely a shell corporation with only the utilization of some net operating loss tax advantages against future possible earnings, ... that ship sailed quite awhile ago' ... This whole deal is much, much larger' as I have been saying since mid 2012'
Regarding the FDIC ? ... well according to their own disclosures' stated within their own public site' ... cash ... in excess of $25.00 being held must be returned to an original debtors estate in a timely fashion''
So' ... Yes' ... in my opinion ? ... there will be cash returns first, which are, obviously an easy distribution' ... followed by the return of all' illiquid assets' ... to be also returned to the liquidating trust' ... continuing, ... the illiquid assets being returned to the LT, ... is what our new company WMIH' ... is currently in stand by mode, and at the ready to help out ... "everybody wins financially" ...
AZ
My one qualifier is that WMB property will remain in R until procedures are completed (with DB still illiquid it could be quite a wait); non-WMB property (liquid and illiquid) will be released.