Escenario
Some may have seen these 'facts' posted along the weekend, and I will try to set the record straight:
- JPM did not pay out $29 billion in bonuses for 2009. They paid out $9.3 billion and in this much of it was stock (equity).
- JPM does not have nearly $700 billion in cash on hand. The number my E-Trade account reports is more like $26 billion. Feel free to refute this, I am open to all facts presented.
- The FDIC did not sell WMB to JPM based on WMI's stock price pre-seizure (which was around $2.00), so $2.00 or anything near there is not a valid settlement amount. (it will be much higher)
- Pre and Post seizure holders will not be treated differently in a settlement: If you hold shares when the settlement is reached, you will be eligible.
- The preferred shares are dropping in price because people feel more confident about the commons being in the money and so are converting their portfolio balances to a higher percentage of common shares. This means they have to sell preferred shares.
- If a stock swap occurs WMI will cease to exist as its own entity: It will become a wholly-owned subsidiary of JP Morgan Chase and Co.
- A stock swap of 2:1 WMI for JPM would dilute JPM shares by 21%. 21% is coincidentally how much Oxygen is in the atmosphere, so take a deep breath and relax because it doesn't mean JPM shares will become worthless (not even close).
- Tim Main's email (the one about shareholders in the Project West deal) does not imply Tim Main wanted to see shareholders get nothing. It implies that he wanted to avoid shareholders getting nothing so that the government would not get involved in the deal. He failed in this regard.
I'm sure there are more, I'll post them as I