Re: Farmas USA
DVAX
mugi, ya que somos parntner de DAVAX adventure , ahi va,,,,
Vendiento la piel antes de cazar al OSO ( Tomado de yahhoo m,board)
-
Why is DVAX near $1 Billion Market Cap?
Just curious at everyone's thoughts as to why are we near $1 Billion market cap if Heplisav U.S. projected peak sales if they commanded 100% market share is $270 Million and $600 Million if you add diabetics according to Dynavax latest presentation given at William Blair 2015 Growth Stock Conference?
Of we assume 100% market capture of HepB with Heplisav, you would get market value of DVAX = 3 x $270 Million = $810 Million. If we assume diabetic injections yields $600 Million peak sales in U.S, than DVAX = 3 x $600 Million = $1.8 Billion assuming they get 100% market share with a very conservative 3x mutiplier.
Now lets apply 70% factor for Heplisav not yet being approved. If we take $1.8 Billion and multiply it by 0.7 we get $1.26 Billion. Now lets assume we don't capture 100 market share but say 70% since Heplisav is supperior to all other HepB adult vaccines we should get $1.26 Billion x 0.70 = $882 Million market cap. We have blown through this number so why?
Could it be that the market sees a higher multiple say 6x peak sales? Could it be anticipated acquisition? Could it be eager anticipation of five ongoing SD-101 trials in cancer immuonotherapy space? How about AZD1419? Could it be all of these contributing to much higher market cap.
Investors did not penalize Dynavax when the recently sold more shares to the marketplace thus causing dilution of all of our shares. In fact, the stock went up which is contrary to what some thought on this board? How could this happen?
Interested in your guys thoughts! Less
Sentiment: Strong Buy
-
mugi y despues tu dices que yo exagero mi PO, Ja,ja,ja ese se vas mas lejos y me deja corto
De momento el Short Insterest le da la razon a este, asi que por lo pronto tenermos rally asegurado en los proximos meses intersante para tradear