Re: S.I.G.O. Bestinver
2017-03-03
Fecha Empresa Precio VALORACION Volatilidad Operativa __________________________________________________________________________ 2017-03-03 CRP.PA = 145,32 57 1,8% 2017-03-03 MAA.PA = 140,25 26 2,9% 2017-03-03 ^IBEX = 9799 51 13,2% 2017-03-03 REE.MC = 17,35 12 11,2% 2017-03-03 IBE.MC = 6,34 83 12,3% 6,45 vta 2017-03-03 ELE.mc = 20,12 138 11,6% vender 2017-03-03 ENG.MC = 23,53 4 11,9% 2017-03-03 AMS.MC = 44,54 100 12,6% 44,56 vta 2017-03-03 ITX.MC = 30,63 13 14,0% 2017-03-03 ABE.MC = 14,12 37 12,6% 2017-03-03 AENA.MC = 134,85 100 13,5% 134,86 vta 2017-03-03 EBRO.MC = 19,13 59 10,7% 19,92 vta 2017-03-03 FER.MC = 17,94 8 14,5% 2017-03-03 GAS.mc = 18,62 73 14,0% 19,17 vta 2017-03-03 TEF.MC = 9,98 88 16,7% 10,13 vta 2017-03-03 VIS.MC = 48,59 24 12,9% 2017-03-03 GRF.MC = 21,16 90 14,6% 21,41 vta 2017-03-03 SAY.mc = 8,24 1 10,7% 2017-03-03 ANA.mc = 74,70 114 14,6% vender 2017-03-03 CLNX.mc = 14,39 4 14,7% 2017-03-03 BKT.mc = 7,35 78 15,6% 7,54 vta 2017-03-03 MRL.MC = 10,70 45 15,4% 11,40 vta 2017-03-03 ACS.mc = 30,41 91 16,4% 30,75 vta 2017-03-03 REP.MC = 14,30 119 18,4% vender 2017-03-03 BME.MC = 29,91 61 14,7% 31,28 vta 2017-03-03 LOG.MC = 21,31 65 13,6% 22,13 vta 2017-03-03 BBVA.MC = 6,59 75 20,8% 6,81 vta 2017-03-03 DIA.mc = 5,23 32 17,5% 2017-03-03 SAN.mc = 5,32 119 21,9% vender 2017-03-03 MEL.MC = 12,50 98 16,1% 12,53 vta 2017-03-03 TL5.MC = 11,21 47 16,8% 11,94 vta 2017-03-03 GAM.mc = 21,36 118 18,1% vender 2017-03-03 ZOT.MC = 7,51 32 14,9% 2017-03-03 FCC.mc = 8,68 63 17,1% 9,08 vta 2017-03-03 COL.MC = 6,85 41 15,6% 7,33 vta 2017-03-03 CIE.MC = 18,16 96 16,0% 18,25 vta 2017-03-03 MAP.MC = 3,02 152 18,7% vender 2017-03-03 ALB.mc = 43,65 95 14,2% 43,88 vta 2017-03-03 TRE.mc = 36,80 73 18,5% 38,06 vta 2017-03-03 IDR.MC = 11,82 89 18,7% 11,98 vta 2017-03-03 GCO.mc = 31,63 111 15,9% vender 2017-03-03 ALM.MC = 15,16 23 17,0% 2017-03-03 PSG.MC = 5,55 9 17,4% 2017-03-03 APPS.mc = 11,28 158 18,0% vender 2017-03-03 ACX.MC = 14,00 140 20,1% vender 2017-03-03 A3M.mc = 10,86 55 20,1% 11,52 vta 2017-03-03 IAG.mc = 6,33 97 23,9% 6,35 vta 2017-03-03 bdl.MC = 117,00 105 16,7% vender 2017-03-03 eno.mc = 9,30 88 15,7% 9,43 vta 2017-03-03 pac.mc = 6,18 166 18,1% vender 2017-03-03 MCM.mc = 26,31 141 18,1% vender 2017-03-03 FAE.mc = 3,44 82 19,1% 3,52 vta 2017-03-03 FDR.mc = 4,98 175 18,5% vender 2017-03-03 DOM.mc = 3,53 131 18,8% vender 2017-03-03 tlgo.mc = 4,72 22 22,0% 2017-03-03 enc.mc = 2,73 89 23,3% 2,77 vta 2017-03-03 tub.MC = 3,10 127 21,3% vender 2017-03-03 IBG.mc = 29,30 303 19,4% vender 2017-03-03 LGT.mc = 17,83 187 20,6% vender 2017-03-03 MERCADO = 90 8,9%______________________________________________________________________________________________ 11) ORDEN (Criterio.CALIDAD) : las empresas están Ordenadas de mejor a peor. 22) VALORACION (Criterio.OPORTUNIDAD) = Distancia del Precio.Actual al Precio.más.PROBABLE. . . . VALORACION.negativa = Rojo = Infravaloración = Sobreventa = COMPRA [comprar SI menor -100] . . . VALORACION.positiva = Verde = Sobrevaloración = Sobrecompra = VENTA [vender SI mayor +100] . . . Está Operativamente NORMALIZADA a 100 [menor -100% = COMPRAR, mayor +100% = VENDER ]. 33) Volatilidad = Volatilidad.FUTURA Anual (Desviación.Típica Anual, MAS PROBABLE) 00) MERCADO : este Mercado se encuentra a un 1% de las condiciones.optimas de VENTA. Las Empresas en NEGRITA son las que también están en la Cartera Optimizada. Además de ser de las mejores (Blue.Chips), se intenta que estén sectorialmente DIVERSIFICADAS (no clonadas). Detalles.Tabla: https://www.rankia.com/blog/gestion-cartera/617711-tabla-valoraciones ______________________________________________________________________________________________
______________________ CARTERA OPTIMIZADA 2017 _______________________
Patrimonio.Inicial(Pat0) = 308804
Patrimonio.Actual = 327852 = RentaVariable + Liquidez
RentaVariable = 241458
Liquidez = 86394 [incluye Dividendos=353]
RENTABILIDAD(Reta) = 19048 = 6,2% a 2017-03-03
VOLATILIDAD.anual(Vola) = 6,5%
Correlación = 51%
Rotación.Cartera(Rot) = 16047 = 5,2%
_______________________________________________ Operativa.Programada ____
ITX.MC = 204 x 30,63 = 6249 - FER.MC = 421 x 17,94 = 7553 - GAS.mc = 370 x 18,62 = 6888 - TEF.MC = 811 x 9,98 = 8097 230 x 10,13 = 2330 = vta GRF.MC = 369 x 21,16 = 7810 98 x 21,74 = 2131 = vta SAY.mc = 936 x 8,24 = 7710 - BKT.mc = 901 x 7,35 = 6623 - MRL.MC = 642 x 10,70 = 6866 - REP.MC = 373 x 14,30 = 5332 - BME.MC = 237 x 29,91 = 7089 - DIA.mc = 1612 x 5,23 = 8424 - MEL.MC = 598 x 12,50 = 7475 162 x 13,18 = 2135 = vta GAM.mc = 345 x 21,36 = 7367 95 x 22,55 = 2142 = vta COL.MC = 1008 x 6,85 = 6900 - CIE.MC = 330 x 18,16 = 5993 - MAP.MC = 2062 x 3,02 = 6235 - ALB.mc = 151 x 43,65 = 6591 - TRE.mc = 153 x 36,80 = 5630 - IDR.MC = 637 x 11,82 = 7529 181 x 12,53 = 2268 = vta GCO.mc = 200 x 31,63 = 6326 - ALM.MC = 450 x 15,16 = 6822 - PSG.MC = 1117 x 5,55 = 6199 - APPS.mc = 526 x 11,28 = 5933 - ACX.MC = 525 x 14,00 = 7350 147 x 14,67 = 2156 = vta IAG.mc = 954 x 6,33 = 6034 - bdl.MC = 55 x 117,00 = 6435 - eno.mc = 738 x 9,30 = 6863 - pac.mc = 939 x 6,18 = 5803 - MCM.mc = 268 x 26,31 = 7051 72 x 28,26 = 2035 = vta FDR.mc = 1109 x 4,98 = 5523 - DOM.mc = 2119 x 3,53 = 7480 586 x 3,67 = 2151 = vta tlgo.mc = 1466 x 4,72 = 6922 - enc.mc = 2642 x 2,73 = 7199 - tub.MC = 1637 x 3,10 = 5067 - IBG.mc = 199 x 29,30 = 5831 - LGT.mc = 351 x 17,83 = 6258 - ______________________________________________________________________
______________ Historico.Cartera _____________ Historico.Bestinfond _ año Pat0 Rot Reta Vola Reta Vola Indice0 ------------- ------------- ------------- ------- 2014 230000 11% 6,6% 5,2% 0,3% 5,0% 149,51 2015 245187 18% 11,2% 7,2% 12,7% 8,8% 149,95 2016 272606 36% 13,3% 7,7% 10,5% 8,6% 169,88 2017 308804 ... ..,.. .,.. ..,.. .,.. 187,79 2018 ...... ... ..,.. .,.. ..,.. .,.. .... 2019 ...... ... ..,.. .,.. ..,.. .,.. .... 2020 ...... ... ..,.. .,.. ..,.. .,.. .... ------------- ------------- ------- PROMEDIOS = 10,4% 6,7% 7.8% 7,5% RATIO.Reta/Vola = 1,6 1,0 ______________________________________________________________________
* CRP.PA = Europa, Deuda Corporativa = Lyxor UCITS ETF Euro Corporate Bond * MAA.PA = Europa, Deuda Publica = Highest Rated Macro-Weighted Govt Bond * BESTINFOND = Fondo.Renta.Variable europea (Gestora Bestinver) * ^STOXX50E = INDICE EUROSTOXX50 Detalles Cartera: https://www.rankia.com/blog/gestion-cartera/1759345-cartera-optimizada Metodo S.I.G.O.: https://www.rankia.com/blog/gestion-cartera/1921053-metodo-s-i-g-sistema-integrado-gestion-optimizada © MRNCP379420
El problema fundamental de la Bolsa es la corrupción y manipulación.