Re: Cobas AM: Nueva Gestora de Francisco García Paramés
For calendar 2018, Clarksons forecast 49 VLCCs will be delivered to the global fleet. And in addition there have been around 10 VLCCs moved out of storage into the main commercial fleet primarily as a result of the structure of the oil price which has been in backwardation since the third quarter of last year.
Now if we move on to the green circle. We have 21 VLCCs removed from the global fleet year-to-date which is encouraging along with the strong demand background. If we take the IEA estimate of 1.5 million barrels demand growth for 2018. Euronav estimate this will require around 46 VLCCs during 2018 and still means we have an oversupply of around 12 VLCCs.
The point of this exercise is to graphically illustrate that despite the uptick in scrapping activity that we have seen over the winter period more corrective action is required by owners to get the fleet back into balance. Until this happens, the freight market will remain challenging
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